PROGRAM



08:30 - 09:00 Registration
09:00 - 09:30 Opening Ceremony
09:30 - 10:00 Inaugural Keynote: ENSO science and predictions and the UN Decade of Ocean Science. Salvatore Arico
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break
Session 1: ENSO Observations (Co-chairs: Wenju Cai; Matthieu Lengaigne)
10:30 - 11:00 Keynote 1: The 2015-16 El Niño and Climate Change (Michael McPhaden)
11:00 - 11:30 Keynote 2: Advances in paleo-ENSO: A past to future perspective (Kim Cobb)
11:30 - 11:50 ENSO complexity: A monitoring and forecasting perspective (Magdalena Balmaseda)
11:50 - 12:10 El Niño diversity, cross-equatorial winds, and the intertropical convergence zone (Shineng Hu)
12:10 - 12:30 ENSO variability in Galápagos corals: New insights on variability and trends (Cole Julia)
12:30 - 13:30 Lunch
13:30 - 13:50 Impacts of the Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent on the Northern Peruvian Coast (Gandy Rosales)
13:50 - 14:10 Oceanography, total alkalinity and pCO2 levels during El Niño 2015-16 in a subtropical coastal upwelling area of Humboldt Current. (Victor Aguilera)
14:10 - 14:30 Session 1 Poster Express
Session 2: ENSO Dynamics (Co-chairs: Andrew Wittenberg; Kim Cobb)
14:30 - 15:00 Keynote 1: El Niño in the far-eastern Pacific: Concepts, impacts and dynamics (Ken Takahasi)
15:00 - 15:30 Keynote 2: Understanding ENSO event precursors (Shayne McGregor)
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
16:00 - 16:20 A hierarchy of models for ENSO diversity in past, present and future (Christina Karamperidou)
16:20 - 16:40 A stochastic skeleton model for the MJO and ENSO (Sulian Thual)
16:40 - 17:00 Decrypting the nonlinearity in ENSO observations: potential for skillful predictions (S. A. Dixit)
17:00 - 17:20 ENSO modes-annual cycle interaction and ENSO complexity (Ruihuang Xie)
17:20 - 17:40 The Role of the Western Pacific Heat Buildup in the Development and Prediction of El Niño (Petrova Desislava)
17:40 - 18:00 Session 2 Poster Express
18:00 Adjourn
Session 3: ENSO and Modes of Climate Variability (Co-chairs: Michael McPhaden; Ken Takahasi)
09:00 - 09:30 Keynote 1: The role of intraseasonal variability in ENSO (Matthieu Lengaigne)
09:30 - 10:30 Keynote 2: Decadal Variability of ENSO (Antonieta Capotondi)
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break
10:30 - 10:50 Extreme El Nino events and 21st century climate change: Attributing inter-model differences in future projections (Samantha Stevenson)
10:50 - 11:10 Decadal modulation of ENSO and the linkage to tropical Pacific decadal variability (Yuko Okumura)
11:10 - 11:30 Atlantic Impacts on Multi-decadal ENSO diversity and Amplitude Variability (Aaron Levine)
11:30 - 11:50 The role of interannual ENSO events in decadal timescale transitions of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (Meehl Gerald)
11:50 - 12:10 Effect of increasing atmospheric resolution on Prediction Skill of ENSO in Coupled Forecast System (CFS) (Anika Arora)
12:10 - 12:30 Session 3 Poster Express
12:30 - 13:30 Lunch
13:30 - 14:30 Poster viewing (Sessions 1, 2, 3)
Session 4: ENSO Modelling and Prediction (Co-chairs: Antonieta Capotondi; Jose Marengo)
14:30 - 15:00 Keynote 1: ENSO in climate models: Progress and opportunities (Andrew Wittenberg)
15:00 - 15:30 Keynote 2: Consensus climate model evaluation for end users: an example with ENSO metrics (Eric Guilyardi)
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
16:00 - 16:20 A Bird's Eye View of Operational ENSO Prediction: Methods, Challenges, and Paths Forward (Michelle L'Heureux)
16:20 - 16:40 Does the equatorial recharge/discharge increase ENSO predictability? (Sarah Larson)
16:40 - 17:00 Improved skill in North American multi-model ensemble for the Americas (Mejia John)
17:00 - 17:20 Characterizing tropical Pacific SST predictability (Matthew Newman)
17:20 - 17:40 Tuning ENSO in a Climate Model (Bayr Tobias)
17:40 - 18:00 Session 4 Poster Express
18:00 Adjourn
Session 5: ENSO impacts and Regional processes (Co-chairs: Eric Guilyardi; Rodney Martinez)
09:00 - 09:30 Keynote 1: Air-sea interactions off Peru and Ecuador and the development of Eastern Pacific El Nino events (Boris Dewitte)
09:30 - 10:30 Keynote 2: Socio-climatic impacts of El Nino in Tropical South America East of the Andes (Jose Marengo)
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break
10:30 - 10:50 The impact of global warming on ENSO is clearer now than ever before (Scott Power)
10:50 - 11:10 How relevant is ENSO to global crop production? (Anderson Weston)
11:10 - 11:30
11:30 - 11:50 Impact of Tropical Atlantic variability on Tropical Pacific predictability (Eleftheria Exarchou)
11:50 - 12:10 Impacts of different ENSO flavors and tropical Pacific convection variability (ITCZ, SPCZ) on austral summer rainfall in South America, with a focus on Peru (Sulca Juan)
12:10 - 12:30 Session 5 Poster Express
12:30 - 13:30 Lunch
13:30 - 14:30 Poster viewing (Sessions 4, 5, 6)
Session 6: Climate information and sustainable development (Co-chairs: Boris Dewitte; Fangli Qiao)
14:30 - 15:00 Keynote 1: Keeping climate science fundable: Challenges and opportunities of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development (Rodney Martinez)
15:00 - 15:30 Keynote 2: Towards an ENSO Early Warning System in Ecuador: Lessons learned (Jose Santos)
15:30 - 16:00 Coffee Break
16:00 - 16:20 Differences between ENSO 2014- 2017 and another strong ENSO events (Luis Alfredo Icochea Salas)
16:20 - 16:40 Impacts of ENSO and summer monsoon rainfall on riverine flooding in Upper Indus Basin of Pakistan (Khalid Bushra)
16:40 - 17:00 Climate Services for Public Health: the use of El Niño and other climate modes for arbovirus forecasting in Latin America and the Caribbean (Borbor-Cordova Mercy)
17:00 - 17:20 Climate System Interactions for Climate Risks Management in Developing Countries (Caballero Espejo Maria Esther)
17:20 - 17:40 Ocean and climate models improvements by including the surface wave (Fangli Qiao)
17:20 - 17:40 Session 6 Poster Express
17:40 - 18:00 Closure & Poster awards
18:20 Adjourn